Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.471869 11.632389 12.881146 14.326852 15.957093 17.741486 19.846525
2025-08-10 8.329227 9.863109 11.635671 13.844095 16.533728 19.718009 23.795505
2025-08-17 6.908911 8.618160 10.712336 13.485830 17.090633 21.655495 27.934419
2025-08-24 5.935063 7.733300 10.047863 13.277408 17.717770 23.682246 32.425474
2025-08-31 5.240091 7.088857 9.572193 13.199066 18.440033 25.861321 37.386559
2025-09-07 4.807427 6.727159 9.407363 13.488545 19.663095 28.847443 43.910024
2025-09-14 4.342182 6.255884 9.018568 13.381547 20.255084 30.936956 49.336924
2025-09-21 3.911146 5.781741 8.563433 13.101765 20.516741 32.507362 54.112671
2025-09-28 3.586367 5.429761 8.247741 12.987807 21.003507 34.465701 59.795639
2025-10-05 3.429985 5.319120 8.288548 13.440607 22.464973 38.224220 69.242339
2025-10-12 3.278498 5.198934 8.297010 13.831087 23.852619 42.016406 79.351434
2025-10-19 3.087988 4.995756 8.146124 13.923804 24.708333 44.933307 88.207140
2025-10-26 2.860066 4.715572 7.848429 13.740502 25.063770 47.012260 95.851030
2025-11-02 2.647483 4.444093 7.542108 13.510347 25.305321 48.909576 103.477316
2025-11-09 2.455046 4.191595 7.246493 13.268031 25.491733 50.718886 111.245520
2025-11-16 2.294477 3.982397 7.009963 13.112597 25.831304 52.890602 120.259289
2025-11-23 2.162966 3.814986 6.835097 13.058302 26.370791 55.564782 130.999217
2025-11-30 2.087415 3.744569 6.835541 13.355342 27.695420 60.182530 147.570151
2025-12-07 1.970552 3.586643 6.653570 13.254647 28.128450 62.796704 159.416108
2025-12-14 1.844305 3.401081 6.401922 12.980177 28.132432 64.382101 168.768952
2025-12-21 1.746381 3.263349 6.234015 12.868490 28.497463 66.900934 181.293708
2025-12-28 1.712610 3.249971 6.316707 13.317143 30.251408 73.204629 206.434611
2026-01-04 1.673979 3.223628 6.369847 13.703850 31.904278 79.512738 233.145970